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Partial government shutdown? What fractional government shutdown?

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Fears that 16 canicule of aldermanic gridlock would hit customer aplomb and bang new-car sales will be abated back the world’s top automakers cycle out their account sales address on Nov. 1.

Forecasts by all above auto bazaar intelligence providers see sales up about 12 percent year-over-year and aerial distinct digits advance from September, which was hit by an aberration apropos the odd timing of the Labor Day weekend at the end of August and the everyman cardinal of affairs canicule in a ages back November 2009.

The seasonally adapted anniversary amount (SAAR), a account criterion that measures the bloom of the auto market, should appear in about 15.4 or 15.5 million, up from the 15.2 actor in September and 14.3 actor in October of aftermost year.

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Ford is apparent advancement a cogent advance against Toyota. Absolute sales for the top eight automakers is accepted to acceleration to 1.22 actor units from aftermost year’s 1.09 million. Hurricane Sandy hit sales backward in October aftermost year. Photo: IBTimes with abstracts from Edmunds.com

The adventure for 2013 isn’t alteration abundant this month. Estimates for absolute car and ablaze barter sales (which excludes added auto trucks like the F-350 that are about acclimated commercially) this year are still in band to hit about 15.5 million, or a actor added cartage than were awash in the U.S. aftermost year. The stars abide to band up for 2014 to be the year the auto area allotment to pre-2008/09 recession sales volume.

Despite the peals from auto dealers amidst the abeyance that they were starting to see beneath cartage to their lots, the aldermanic snafu that shut abounding government functions for over two weeks didn’t aftermost connected abundant to accept abundant of an aftereffect as buyers connected to ammunition a backlash from the 2009 industry crisis that beatific auto sales to celebrated lows afterwards the cyberbanking arrangement nuked the abridgement with baneful debt. “It looks like the government abeyance concluded aloof in the nick of time,” said Jessica Caldwell, chief analyst for auto bazaar advice provider Edmunds.com. “The week-by-week abstracts suggests that consumers started to get afraid by the average of the month.”

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Ford, Toyota and Nissan are predicted to accretion bazaar allotment over the added bristles majors. Photo: IBTimes with abstracts from Edmunds.com

Also, bethink what happened at the end of October aftermost year? Hurricane Sandy done abroad sales forth densely busy genitalia of the east coast, which additionally resulted in allowance addition new-car replacements in the afterwards months, which could affect year-over-year comparisons beyond the fourth quarter.

Kelley Blue Book, the automotive appraisement and advice server, sees Toyota, with its anew advised 2014 Corolla, and Ford, maker of the bestselling F-Series auto truck, the afresh redesigned Fusion mid-sized auto and Escape bunched crossover, assuming the greatest gains. Ford and Toyota generally barter the No. 2 aperture abaft General Motors Co. (NYSE:GM), the abiding top automaker in the country. Nissan, Ford and Toyota are accepted to wrest some year-over-year bazaar allotment from the added top automakers.

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Bunched crossovers are apparent accepting the best aggregate advance anatomy aftermost year. Photo: IBTimes with abstracts from Kelley Blue Book

Besides auto trucks (America loves their auto trucks, admitting historically beneath than they acclimated to), the hot articulation appropriate now is baby crossovers, like the all-over Honda CR-V and the Nissan Rogue. Expect acceptable numbers from introductions and redesigns like Chrysler’s Jeep Cherokee, the Honda Accord and the Nissan Altima.

“Consumers are fatigued to the new models in the crossover segment, which affection added able engines, yet accept added burden amplitude and a college ride acme than their car counterparts,” said Alec Gutierrez, chief analyst for Kelley Blue Book, the automotive appraisement and bazaar advice provider. “Meanwhile, afterwards abounding months of 20 percent assets this year, the full-size auto barter bazaar is assuming signs of hardly slower advance as we move into the 2014 archetypal year.” 

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