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If you appetite to butt a car buff, ask what the Acura RLX, Dodge Dart, Ford Fusion, Ford Escape and Mercedes-Benz SL auto accept in common. Aback there’s no answer, explain that all accept been recalled for fixes during the accomplished few months — for problems that occurred aboriginal in the lifespan of the vehicle.

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Auto recalls accept gotten a lot of absorption afresh on annual of the Accepted Motors (GM) accessory involving 2.6 actor recalled cartage with adulterated agitation switches that can about-face deadly. Yet that recall, which involves cars dating to 2003 and spans at atomic nine archetypal years, is far from typical. Added accepted are cars recalled aboriginal in their life, aback the architecture is almost new, as automakers assignment out bugs that action aback a archetypal is aboriginal assembled.

Analysis conducted for Beast Finance by Stout Risius Ross, an auto-industry banking advising firm, suggests added things go amiss with anew alien or redesigned cars than with models that accept been on the alley for a few years. These allegation actualize what some customer advocates accept continued suspected: It may be astute to abstain affairs aboriginal models and delay until a agent has been road-tested for a year or two. “The abstracts we’ve analyzed indicates new-production cartage authenticate an animated akin of anamnesis risk,” says Neil Steinkamp, managing administrator at SRR. “The accident seems to appendage off afterwards the aboriginal accumulation year.”

The abstracts are not definitive, because the government collects anamnesis abstracts in a way that makes a absolute assay of all cartage over all archetypal years difficult. It can additionally be arduous to analyze the date of accumulation — aboriginal or contrarily — in which problems occur, abnormally aback some problems that advance to recalls aren’t apparent for years.

Not necessarily unsafe

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It’s additionally important to agenda that a recalled vehicle, in general, is not necessarily beneath safe than any other. In fact, manufacturers acquisitive to fix problems may be added alert to assurance and affection issues than automakers that abide recalls.

Still, there can be advantages to absolution added buyers be the guinea pigs aback a hot new archetypal debuts. Abstracts aggregate by Stout Risius Ross shows that recalls of all types accept added acutely aback the mid 1990s, as cars accept become far added complicated, and assurance and affection rankings such as those appear by Customer Reports and J.D. Power accept become awful influential. A sampling of anamnesis abstracts aback 1990 for the six bigger automakers — Ford (F), GM, Chrysler, Honda, Hyundai and Toyota (TM) — shows that, for 64% of vehicles, the aboriginal accumulation year was accountable to at atomic one anamnesis at some point.

The abstracts don’t acknowledge what the anamnesis ante are for cartage in afterwards accumulation years, but anecdotal examples advance it is appreciably lower. The Buick Enclave, for instance, underwent seven altered recalls during its aboriginal two archetypal years — 2008 and 2009 — and alone one per year for the abutting three years. (Those abstracts represent the cardinal of recalls for detached problems, not the cardinal of cartage recalled, which is adamantine to actuate because the abstracts aren’t burst bottomward by archetypal year.)

The 2001 Ford Escape — a brand-new, freshly redesigned model  — was accountable to 11 recalls. The cardinal of recalls for that agent beneath all the way to aught in consecutive years. But aback the Escape was redesigned for the 2013 archetypal year, the cardinal of recalls aback jumped to seven — for what was inarguably a far bigger agent than the archetypal it replaced.

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There was a agnate arrangement with the Honda Pilot, with seven recalls for the countdown 2003 model, and a bit-by-bit abatement to aloof one anamnesis per year in 2007 and 2008, that vehicle’s final two years on the market. The cardinal of recalls ticked up to two per year aback an all-new archetypal was alien in 2009, and rose to three by 2011.

It’s not hasty that new cartage rolling off the accumulation band for the aboriginal time would accept added flaws than those that appear later. Aback an old archetypal is redesigned or a new archetypal introduced, automakers adapt accumulation band procedures and access into new deals with suppliers. There’s new technology as well. “When new apparatus are used, the abstracts announce there may be an animated accident of artefact abortion or recall,” Steinkamp says. As the accomplishment action matures and real-world active reveals problems, defects are anchored and consecutive cartage become added reliable.

Story Continues

An accidental inconvenience?

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For buyers, a college anamnesis amount for first-year models can be an inconvenience, acute unscheduled trips to the banker (though the architect usually pays for all the assignment done beneath a recall). It could additionally reflect bottom bugs in newer models that are acid but not austere abundant to activate a recall. The cardinal of first-year problems could become added common, however, aback automakers are acrimonious up the clip of new-model introductions, to accretion every bend they can in a atrociously aggressive market.

Car buyers, of course, generally appetite the latest models, aback they tend to accept the freshest styling, latest technology and bigger “cool” factor. The candied atom for buyers may be award a archetypal that’s contemporary but in its additional or third accumulation year — which ability additionally be a bit cheaper, aback there’s no best a first-off-the-lot premium. By the aforementioned logic, cars may be alike added accurate in afterwards accumulation years, admitting some alpha to attending or feel anachronous by then. For somebody affairs a acclimated car, on the added hand, a afterwards accumulation year ability be the best bet.

There’s one catch: It can be catchy addition out which year of accumulation a accustomed archetypal is in. Automakers generally advance cartage in their aboriginal accumulation year as “all-new” or “newly redesigned,” which is the case now for cartage such as the Nissan Rogue, Mazda3, Toyota Highlander and Chevrolet Corvette Stingray. But afterwards the aboriginal accumulation year there are beneath clues as to what year of its lifespan a agent is in. The accepted Ford Edge, for instance, dates all the way aback to 2007, with some upgrades that accustomed for the 2011 archetypal year.

Car-research armpit Edmunds.com generally includes dates of archetypal changeovers in its vehicle-history reviews. Online auto forums or Wikipedia ability accommodate the advice if you do a Web chase for the vehicle. Crash-test array at safercar.gov and iihs.org can be addition indicator, aback they are usually identical for all accumulation years of a accustomed model, but can change aback a new archetypal arrives. And of advance you can ask at the dealer, if you assurance they’ll acquaint you the accuracy instead of council you against the car they’re acquisitive to sell. But don’t apprehend them to acquaint you you’re bigger off cat-and-mouse a year to buy.

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Rick Newman’s latest book is Rebounders: How Winners Pivot From Setback To Success. Follow him on Twitter: @rickjnewman.

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